What you need to know about Saturday’s playoffs
Losing Luka: The Mavericks will be without Luka Doncic for Saturday’s game against the Jazz. Jalen Brunson sees his usage rates and assists rise to star level every time Doncic is off the field. Villanova averages 22.1 points and 7.5 assists per 36 minutes with Doncic off the field this season, compared to 18.4 and 5.4 with him. Aside from Branson, Microwave Spencer Dinwiddie has shone in such scenarios. Its usage rate jumps to 9.1% of the team level to continue with a rise of 13 points DraftKings every 36 minutes with Doncic off the floor. Central Dwight Powell, on the other hand, sees his squad fall significantly whenever Doncic is not on the pitch. Steph Effect: Steve Kerr joked that Stephen Curry does not play 38 minutes on Saturday’s return from a leg injury, but will not be subject to specific restrictions on his superstar guard. A notable result of Curry’s possible return is how Jordan Poole’s extreme differences with his team-mate this season are proven. The Most Improved Player nominee averages 25.1 points, 5.8 pennies and 10.3 3-point attempts per 36 minutes with Curry off the field, but his rates drop to 18.2, 3.5 and 7.6. when sharing parquet. If Curry can get back in shape, it’s important that Denver conceded 50.2 DraftKings per game on a point guard this season, fourth in the league. Point Forwards: Without a true traditional point guard, the Toronto Raptors often scatter distribution tasks among some key playmakers. Striker Pascal Siakam has been particularly dominant against the 76ers this season, scoring his third triple-double of his career in just a few weeks. Serving as a creator for Toronto against a Sixers team that has averaged 8.3 pennies against this season makes Shiakam’s 4.5 assists stand out, as does his ability to flirt with DFS production that tilts tournament. Swat Watch: Jaren Jackson Jr. of the Grizzlies has been gaining momentum throughout the league by 40 blocks this season. This elite defender posted a dozen swats against the Timberwolves in four games this season, most against any opponent. With a block of 1.5 pillars with heavy juice and plus money for 2.5 squares in most books, “JJJ” heads into Saturday’s first game against Minnesota with value for pillars as the league’s top defense. – Jim McCormick
The game of the night
Toronto Raptors in Philadelphia 76ers6 pm ET, Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia Line: 76ers (-4.5) Money Line: 76ers (-190), Raptors (+160) Total: 216 BPI points Expected Total: 212.8 BPI Win%: 76ers (66.2) Key players excluded: none Remarkable: The Raptors have won four of their last five games as an underdog. I am playing 0:58 Erin Dolan shares her favorite bet in the first round series between the Raptors and the 76ers. Best bet: Tobias Harris under 1.5 made 3s. Harris shot 18.8% of the 3-point range in four games against the Raptors during regular time. Toronto’s defense has continued to improve and will likely limit Harris. – Erin Dolan Best bet: Pascal Shiakam over 23.5 points. Shiakam was big in the category, averaging 27.0 PPG in his last 20 games, surpassing 23.5 points in 14 of his 20 games. He was even better especially against the 76ers, averaging 30.3 PPG at 50.7 FG% with at least 26 points in all three games with them this season. – André Snellings Best bet: Scottie Barnes over 0.5 made 3s. Barnes is not known for his ability to shoot 3s, but he averages 2.6 per game. He has made a hat-trick in five of his last six games and two of his three games against the 76ers during regular season. – Eric Moody
Split the rest of the plate
Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks1 p.m. ET, American Airlines Center, Dallas Line: Jazz (-5.0) Money Line: Jazz (-210), Mavericks (+175) Total: 209.5 BPI points Expected Total: 216.8 BPI points Win%: Mavericks (50.7%) Key players excluded: Luka Doncic Remarkable: The home team has won each of its last seven games between the Jazz and the Mavericks. Best bet: Rudy Gobert over 14.5 rebounds. Gobert’s rebound looks great, but he has to dominate the glass, and I do not see the Mavericks having an answer after exchanging Kristaps Porzingis in Washington. Gobert has done that in five of his last eight games. Although he has not succeeded in three consecutive games, the first two against the elite, he left with 21 rebounds against Memphis and 20 rebounds against Golden State. You can count on Gobert to climb big games. – Dolan Best bet: Jazz -5. With Doncic ruled out, the Mavericks will be left without the player who is responsible for the vast majority of their success this season. The Jazz come with a distinct advantage, and if they get any hint about the kind of “Playoffs Donovan Mitchell” outburst they usually get from him in the post-season, they should be in even better shape. – Smells Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies 3:30 p.m. ET, FedEx Forum, Memphis, Tenn. Line: Grizzlies (-7.0) Money Line: Grizzlies (-300), Timberwolves (+240) Total: 235 BPI points Expected Total: 227.8 BPI points Win%: Grizzlies (72.5%) Key players excluded: none Remarkable: Each of the Grizzlies’ last nine playoff games has surpassed the total. Best Bet: Over 235 points. The Timberwolves are in seventh place with 100 points and the Grizzlies are in fourth place. In addition, both teams score a lot of points in transition matches. There will be many possessions in this game, which is good for the over. Thirty-six of the Timberwolves’ last 52 road races have surpassed the total – Moody’s. Best bet: Memphis 1H (-4.5). The Grizzlies were the best team in the league in the first half of the regular season, 54-27-1. Memphis also has 8-2 ATS at 1H overall and at home in the last 10 games. Both teams are playing at some of the fastest pace in the league. I think the Grizzlies jumped fast and scored a lot of points. – Dolan Anthony Edwards could prepare for a big game against the Grizzlies after shining against them in the regular season. David Sherman / NBAE via Getty Images Best Bet: Anthony Edwards over 22.5 points. Edwards averaged 24.4 PPG in a series of 11 games to close the regular season. The Grizzlies’ defense will be difficult to beat, but Edwards has scored 23, 27 and 30 points in his previous three games against them this season. This could be the time to shine. – Bad mood Best bet: Desmond Bain over 27.5 points + assists + rebounds. Bane was enjoying a second season in the league. While Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. They receive a lot of attention and rightly so, Bane was an integral part of the Grizzlies’ success. He averaged 18.2 PPGs during the regular season and the Timberwolves allowed 23 PPGs, 5.1 APGs and 7.0 RPGs. Bane is likely to reach or exceed these averages per game on Saturday afternoon. – Bad mood Best bet: Patrick Beverly under 9.5 points. Beverly had seven points against the Clippers, but it was the kid who lit up after the Timberwolves’ victory over the Clippers. It’s right to fade him in this match. He has averaged nine points in his last four games against the Grizzlies and has surpassed his points in just two of his last 10 games. – Dolan Best bet: Karl-Anthony Towns under 24.5 points. Towns has retreated aggressively, in part to allow Anthony Edwards to shine. Towns averaged 22.4 PPG in the last 10 regular season games, scoring less than 24.5 points in six of those outings, then scored just 11 points before committing a foul on the Wolves’ victory over the Clippers. Towns has faced the Grizzlies four times this season, averaging 23.3 PPG and scoring 22 points against them in their last outing. – Smells Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors 8:30 p.m. ET, Chase Center, San Francisco Line: Warriors (-6.5) Money Line: Warriors (-260), Nuggets (+210) Total: 223 BPI points Expected Total: 224.4 BPI points Win%: Warriors (68.4%) Key players excluded: none Remarkable: The Warriors failed to reach the spread in seven of their last eight playoff games as favorites. Best bet: Nuggets +6.5 points. There is a good chance the Warriors will get Stephen Curry back for Game 1, marking one of the only times this season that their team would have its top five players playing together. They have huge sides, but they could have some growing pains as Carrie removes the rust and everyone gets used to playing together again. The Nuggets finished the season well, scoring 25-10 in the last 35 games played by Nikola Jokic, and went 3-1 in their four games with the Warriors this season. – Smells Best bet: Draymond Green over 23.5 points + assists + rebounds. Green will be the Warriors’ most important player in this series. He averages 7.0 PPG, 10.3 APG and 8.0 RPG in his last four games against the Nuggets. The Power Forwards were very successful against the Nuggets during the regular season and averaged 22 PPG, 3.5 APG and 10.5 RPG – Moody
Analytics Edge
BPI higher predicted sets
- Memphis Grizzlies (117.4 points) 2. Golden State Warriors (114.9 points) 3. Minnesota Timberwolves (110.4 points)
The lowest predicted BPI sets
- Toronto Raptors (104.1 points) 2. Utah Jazz (108.3 points) 3. Philadelphia 76ers (108.7 points)
BPI top chance to win (straight)
- Memphis Grizzlies (72.5%) 2. Golden State Warriors (68.4%) 3. Philadelphia 76ers (66.2%)
title: “2022 Nba Playoffs Betting Tips For Saturday S Game 1 Matchups " ShowToc: true date: “2022-12-17” author: “Charles Pickard”
What you need to know about Saturday’s playoffs
Losing Luka: The Mavericks will be without Luka Doncic for Saturday’s game against the Jazz. Jalen Brunson sees his usage rates and assists rise to star level every time Doncic is off the field. Villanova averages 22.1 points and 7.5 assists per 36 minutes with Doncic off the field this season, compared to 18.4 and 5.4 with him. Aside from Branson, Microwave Spencer Dinwiddie has shone in such scenarios. Its usage rate jumps to 9.1% of the team level to continue with a rise of 13 points DraftKings every 36 minutes with Doncic off the floor. Central Dwight Powell, on the other hand, sees his squad fall significantly whenever Doncic is not on the pitch. Steph Effect: Steve Kerr joked that Stephen Curry does not play 38 minutes on Saturday’s return from a leg injury, but will not be subject to specific restrictions on his superstar guard. A notable result of Curry’s possible return is how Jordan Poole’s extreme differences with his team-mate this season are proven. The Most Improved Player nominee averages 25.1 points, 5.8 pennies and 10.3 3-point attempts per 36 minutes with Curry off the field, but his rates drop to 18.2, 3.5 and 7.6. when sharing parquet. If Curry can get back in shape, it’s important that Denver conceded 50.2 DraftKings per game on a point guard this season, fourth in the league. Point Forwards: Without a true traditional point guard, the Toronto Raptors often scatter distribution tasks among some key playmakers. Striker Pascal Siakam has been particularly dominant against the 76ers this season, scoring his third triple-double of his career in just a few weeks. Serving as a creator for Toronto against a Sixers team that has averaged 8.3 pennies against this season makes Shiakam’s 4.5 assists stand out, as does his ability to flirt with DFS production that tilts tournament. Swat Watch: Jaren Jackson Jr. of the Grizzlies has been gaining momentum throughout the league by 40 blocks this season. This elite defender posted a dozen swats against the Timberwolves in four games this season, most against any opponent. With a block of 1.5 pillars with heavy juice and plus money for 2.5 squares in most books, “JJJ” heads into Saturday’s first game against Minnesota with value for pillars as the league’s top defense. – Jim McCormick
The game of the night
Toronto Raptors in Philadelphia 76ers6 pm ET, Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia Line: 76ers (-4.5) Money Line: 76ers (-190), Raptors (+160) Total: 216 BPI points Expected Total: 212.8 BPI Win%: 76ers (66.2) Key players excluded: none Remarkable: The Raptors have won four of their last five games as an underdog. Best bet: Tobias Harris under 1.5 made 3s. Harris shot 18.8% of the 3-point range in four games against the Raptors during regular time. Toronto’s defense has continued to improve and will likely limit Harris. – Erin Dolan Best bet: Pascal Shiakam over 23.5 points. Shiakam was big in the category, averaging 27.0 PPG in his last 20 games, surpassing 23.5 points in 14 of his 20 games. He was even better especially against the 76ers, averaging 30.3 PPG at 50.7 FG% with at least 26 points in all three games with them this season. – André Snellings Best bet: Scottie Barnes over 0.5 made 3s. Barnes is not known for his ability to shoot 3s, but he averages 2.6 per game. He has made a hat-trick in five of his last six games and two of his three games against the 76ers during regular season. – Eric Moody
Split the rest of the plate
Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks1 p.m. ET, American Airlines Center, Dallas Line: Jazz (-5.0) Money Line: Jazz (-210), Mavericks (+175) Total: 209.5 BPI points Expected Total: 216.8 BPI points Win%: Mavericks (50.7%) Key players excluded: Luka Doncic Remarkable: The home team has won each of its last seven games between the Jazz and the Mavericks. Best bet: Rudy Gobert over 14.5 rebounds. Gobert’s rebound looks great, but he has to dominate the glass, and I do not see the Mavericks having an answer after exchanging Kristaps Porzingis in Washington. Gobert has done that in five of his last eight games. Although he has not succeeded in three consecutive games, the first two against the elite, he left with 21 rebounds against Memphis and 20 rebounds against Golden State. You can count on Gobert to climb big games. – Dolan Best bet: Jazz -5. With Doncic ruled out, the Mavericks will be left without the player who is responsible for the vast majority of their success this season. The Jazz come with a distinct advantage, and if they get any hint about the kind of “Playoffs Donovan Mitchell” outburst they usually get from him in the post-season, they should be in even better shape. – Smells Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies 3:30 p.m. ET, FedEx Forum, Memphis, Tenn. Line: Grizzlies (-7.0) Money Line: Grizzlies (-300), Timberwolves (+240) Total: 235 BPI points Expected Total: 227.8 BPI points Win%: Grizzlies (72.5%) Key players excluded: none Remarkable: Each of the Grizzlies’ last nine playoff games has surpassed the total. Best Bet: Over 235 points. The Timberwolves are in seventh place with 100 points and the Grizzlies are in fourth place. In addition, both teams score a lot of points in transition matches. There will be many possessions in this game, which is good for the over. Thirty-six of the Timberwolves’ last 52 road races have surpassed the total – Moody’s. Best bet: Memphis 1H (-4.5). The Grizzlies were the best team in the league in the first half of the regular season, 54-27-1. Memphis also has 8-2 ATS at 1H overall and at home in the last 10 games. Both teams are playing at some of the fastest pace in the league. I think the Grizzlies jumped fast and scored a lot of points. – Dolan Anthony Edwards could prepare for a big game against the Grizzlies after shining against them in the regular season. David Sherman / NBAE via Getty Images Best Bet: Anthony Edwards over 22.5 points. Edwards averaged 24.4 PPG in a series of 11 games to close the regular season. The Grizzlies’ defense will be difficult to beat, but Edwards has scored 23, 27 and 30 points in his previous three games against them this season. This could be the time to shine. – Bad mood Best bet: Desmond Bain over 27.5 points + assists + rebounds. Bane was enjoying a second season in the league. While Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. They receive a lot of attention and rightly so, Bane was an integral part of the Grizzlies’ success. He averaged 18.2 PPGs during the regular season and the Timberwolves allowed 23 PPGs, 5.1 APGs and 7.0 RPGs. Bane is likely to reach or exceed these averages per game on Saturday afternoon. – Bad mood Best bet: Patrick Beverly under 9.5 points. Beverly had seven points against the Clippers, but it was the kid who lit up after the Timberwolves’ victory over the Clippers. It’s right to fade him in this match. He has averaged nine points in his last four games against the Grizzlies and has surpassed his points in just two of his last 10 games. – Dolan Best bet: Karl-Anthony Towns under 24.5 points. Towns has retreated aggressively, in part to allow Anthony Edwards to shine. Towns averaged 22.4 PPG in the last 10 regular season games, scoring less than 24.5 points in six of those outings, then scored just 11 points before committing a foul on the Wolves’ victory over the Clippers. Towns has faced the Grizzlies four times this season, averaging 23.3 PPG and scoring 22 points against them in their last outing. – Smells Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors 8:30 p.m. ET, Chase Center, San Francisco Line: Warriors (-6.5) Money Line: Warriors (-260), Nuggets (+210) Total: 223 BPI points Expected Total: 224.4 BPI points Win%: Warriors (68.4%) Key players excluded: none Remarkable: The Warriors failed to reach the spread in seven of their last eight playoff games as favorites. Best bet: Nuggets +6.5 points. There is a good chance the Warriors will get Stephen Curry back for Game 1, marking one of the only times this season that their team would have its top five players playing together. They have huge sides, but they could have some growing pains as Carrie removes the rust and everyone gets used to playing together again. The Nuggets finished the season well, scoring 25-10 in the last 35 games played by Nikola Jokic, and went 3-1 in their four games with the Warriors this season. – Smells Best bet: Draymond Green over 23.5 points + assists + rebounds. Green will be the Warriors’ most important player in this series. He averages 7.0 PPG, 10.3 APG and 8.0 RPG in his last four games against the Nuggets. The Power Forwards were very successful against the Nuggets during the regular season and averaged 22 PPG, 3.5 APG and 10.5 RPG – Moody
Analytics Edge
BPI higher predicted sets
- Memphis Grizzlies (117.4 points) 2. Golden State Warriors (114.9 points) 3. Minnesota Timberwolves (110.4 points)
The lowest predicted BPI sets
- Toronto Raptors (104.1 points) 2. Utah Jazz (108.3 points) 3. Philadelphia 76ers (108.7 points)
BPI top chance to win (straight)
- Memphis Grizzlies (72.5%) 2. Golden State Warriors (68.4%) 3. Philadelphia 76ers (66.2%)
