Ahead of this election, let’s take a look at how the members of the “Complaint 10” fared this midterm cycle.
Two won
- Newhouse advanced to the November ballot after last Tuesday’s primary despite facing a Trump-backed challenger, Lauren Culp. Washington’s 4th District, which Newhouse has represented since 2015, is a safe Republican seat.* Rep. David Valadao of California is the only House Republican impeachment supporter running for re-election who did not face a primary challenger endorsed by Trump. Like Newhouse, Valadao benefited from California’s top two-district system as he narrowly edged out Republican Chris Mathis, a Trump supporter, for second place on the general election ballot in the state’s battleground 22nd District. Valadao also received a valuable endorsement from his district neighbor, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy.
Two losers
- Rep. Peter Meijer of Michigan lost his primary last Tuesday to John Gibbs, who has the support of Trump. The House Democrats’ campaign arm caused a stir by boosting Gibbs, a reluctance to vote, in the Republican primary in hopes of making the state’s 3rd District an easier target in the fall.* Rep. Tom Rice of South Carolina was handily defeated by Trump-endorsed state Rep. Russell Frye in the state’s 7th District in June.
Four are retiring
- Rep. Fred Upton of Michigan decided last spring not to seek a 19th term in Congress. He would be forced to run in a new district against Trump-backed Rep. Bill Huizenga, who ran unopposed in last week’s primary. * Rep. John Katko of New York announced earlier this year that he would retire from the state’s 24th District at the end of his term. New York’s congressional primary, the first to be held under the new map, is scheduled for August 23. * Rep. Adam Kinzinger of Illinois, one of two Republicans on the Jan. 6 committee, declined last fall to seek re-election in the state’s 16th District, clearing the way for GOP Rep. Darin LaHood, whose district was eliminated after the 2020 Census. Trump later endorsed LaHood. * Rep. Anthony Gonzalez of Ohio was the first of the group to leave last September. Trump had initially backed a former aide, Max Miller, to unseat Gonzalez. But after redistricting, Miller ended up running (and winning) in the GOP primary for a different seat.
Two are TBD
- Herrera Beutler is locked in a tight race with Trump-backed Kent to advance to the general election in Washington’s 3rd District, where Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is waiting. Republicans are favored to hold the seat in November.
- Cheney faces Trump-endorsed Harriet Hageman on Aug. 16 for Wyoming’s sole seat. Despite running in a state that voted overwhelmingly for Trump, he leans hard toward criticism of the former President. Last week, her campaign released an ad featuring her father, former Vice President Dick Cheney, calling Trump a “coward.” The point: No matter how the rest of the primary goes, there will be significantly fewer GOP impeachment supporters in the House in 2023, meaning Trump’s grip on the conference will be much firmer.